Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.436898 13.987481 15.763715 17.974121 20.687416 23.959241 28.283054
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.467738 12.336587 14.642735 17.771189 22.028685 27.826173 36.728819
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.331266 11.351199 13.975690 17.766572 23.351783 31.758802 46.540661
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.601244 10.729478 13.612251 18.000922 24.932843 36.385912 59.480306
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.814413 9.915272 12.843448 17.469761 25.159017 38.807931 69.649794
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.314938 9.434337 12.471389 17.449804 26.167594 42.877566 85.938919
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.753406 8.807017 11.806110 16.850228 26.019518 44.630713 97.915862
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.200970 8.147231 11.026391 15.955229 25.153176 44.611593 104.993047
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.757943 7.617324 10.400905 15.245549 24.514280 44.927589 113.699462
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.899712 7.968916 11.181397 17.068545 29.271917 60.080255 202.146242
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.811010 7.956919 11.369957 17.848644 32.065335 71.897856 316.695731
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.462339 7.512837 10.800089 17.113555 31.239129 72.308850 355.564875
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.222743 7.243713 10.532589 16.992243 32.000499 79.005807 499.098353
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.991598 6.974174 10.243549 16.794755 32.549210 85.517589 718.982728
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.811333 6.775407 10.060765 16.789360 33.603880 95.012278 1211.952245
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.678562 6.645671 9.988405 17.004366 35.328601 109.321899 2831.984239
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.459965 6.360148 9.612517 16.516588 34.927780 113.044579 4811.944784
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.320957 6.201179 9.457199 16.498248 35.935587 125.779960 22368.297259
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.123779 5.933731 9.083258 15.946876 35.174009 127.454079 83940.382465
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.904393 5.619875 8.606798 15.122307 33.407629 121.585216 103139.998835
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.718680 5.357448 8.215614 14.467143 32.102395 118.300554 267216.075679
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.825692 5.603013 8.799180 16.147734 39.015981 186.882960 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.809421 5.631716 8.967027 16.864578 42.979383 249.157128 NaN